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					Brecon & Radnorshire
					
						Liberal Democrat hold
   One of the Liberal Democrats' most vulnerable seats in all of Britain must be Brecon and Radnor in mid-Wales. Not only is their redoubtable campaigner Richard Livsey retiring - he won this three way marginal in the 1985 by-election, and in the General Elections in 1987 and 1997; but it should be remembered that the Conservatives won here in 1992, and also polled the most votes within the seat in the 1999 Euro-elections, with the Lib Dems in third place. It will be a tough task for Roger Williams to hold on in one of the ten seats with the highest proportion of those employed in agriculture, a huge chunk of mid Wales (this has the largest area of any seat in the principality at just over 300,000 hectares).
 
   With the retirement of Richard Livsey - once cruelly-dubbed by a former Tory opponent as having "the personality of a cow-pat", the Liberal Democrats are fielding here Roger Williams, a pudgy-faced farmer and local councillor and seasoned campaigner on farming a rural 
concerns, who was born in 1948 and educated at Christ's College , Brecon and Selwyn College, Cambridge - exactly the same educational pedigree as the Lib Dem MP Simon Hughes.  The Conservatives are seeking to retake this seat with the exotic Dr. Felix Aubel, a "single-with-partner Congregational Minister," former teacher and university lecturer, born 1960, and educated in a Pontypridd comprehensive and at Lampeter and Cardiff Universities.
 
   
 
						
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	| Wealthy Achievers, Suburban Areas | 9.62% | 14.99% | 64.17 |  |  
	| Affluent Greys, Rural Communities | 27.27% | 2.13% | 1,282.72 |  |  
	| Prosperous Pensioners, Retirement Areas | 2.75% | 2.49% | 110.76 |  |  
	
 
	| Affluent Executives, Family Areas | 1.23% | 4.43% | 27.72 |  |  
	| Well-Off Workers, Family Areas | 0.03% | 7.27% | 0.38 |  |  
	
 
	| Affluent Urbanites, Town & City Areas | 0.64% | 2.56% | 25.03 |  |  
	| Prosperous Professionals, Metropolitan Areas | 0.00% | 2.04% | 0.00 |  |  
	| Better-Off Executives, Inner City Areas | 2.60% | 3.94% | 66.00 |  |  
	
 
	| Comfortable Middle Agers, Mature Home Owning Areas | 19.13% | 13.04% | 146.74 |  |  
	| Skilled Workers, Home Owning Areas | 5.86% | 12.70% | 46.10 |  |  
	
 
	| New Home Owners, Mature Communities | 14.89% | 8.14% | 182.88 |  |  
	| White Collar Workers, Better-Off Multi Ethnic Areas | 7.35% | 4.02% | 182.67 |  |  
	
 
	| Older People, Less Prosperous Areas | 2.39% | 3.19% | 74.99 |  |  
	| Council Estate Residents, Better-Off Homes | 6.23% | 11.31% | 55.10 |  |  
	| Council Estate Residents, High Unemployment | 0.00% | 3.06% | 0.00 |  |  
	| Council Estate Residents, Greatest Hardship | 0.00% | 2.52% | 0.00 |  |  
	| People in Multi-Ethnic, Low-Income Areas | 0.00% | 2.10% | 0.00 |  |  
	
 
	| Unclassified | 0.00% | 0.06% | 4.70 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  
						
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		| £0-5K | 10.30% | 9.41% | 109.39 |  |  
		| £5-10K | 18.86% | 16.63% | 113.37 |  |  
		| £10-15K | 18.55% | 16.58% | 111.86 |  |  
		| £15-20K | 14.59% | 13.58% | 107.44 |  |  
		| £20-25K | 10.59% | 10.39% | 101.93 |  |  
		| £25-30K | 7.48% | 7.77% | 96.26 |  |  
		| £30-35K | 5.26% | 5.79% | 90.84 |  |  
		| £35-40K | 3.72% | 4.33% | 85.84 |  |  
		| £40-45K | 2.65% | 3.27% | 81.30 |  |  
		| £45-50K | 1.92% | 2.48% | 77.21 |  |  
		| £50-55K | 1.40% | 1.90% | 73.54 |  |  
		| £55-60K | 1.04% | 1.47% | 70.23 |  |  
		| £60-65K | 0.77% | 1.15% | 67.27 |  |  
		| £65-70K | 0.59% | 0.91% | 64.59 |  |  
		| £70-75K | 0.45% | 0.72% | 62.17 |  |  
		| £75-80K | 0.34% | 0.57% | 59.98 |  |  
		| £80-85K | 0.27% | 0.46% | 57.99 |  |  
		| £85-90K | 0.21% | 0.37% | 56.18 |  |  
		| £90-95K | 0.17% | 0.31% | 54.52 |  |  
		| £95-100K | 0.13% | 0.25% | 53.00 |  |  
		| £100K + | 0.62% | 1.34% | 45.94 |  |  |  |   |  
 
  
 
 
								
									| 
	
	
		| 1992-1997 | 1997-2001 |  
		
		
		
		
		
		
		|  |  |  
		
		| 
			
				| Con | -7.14% |  
				| Lab | 0.34% |  
				| LD | 5.05% |  
				| PC | 0.55% |  | 
			
				| Con | 5.88% |  
				| Lab | -5.25% |  
				| LD | -4.00% |  
				| PC | 2.02% |  |  |  |  |  
								
									| 
	
	
	    | Roger Williams Liberal Democrat hold
 |  
	    | 
			
			
				
			
			
				| Con |  | 13,073 | 34.85% |  
				| Lab |  | 8,024 | 21.39% |  
				| LD |  | 13,824 | 36.85% |  
				| PC |  | 1,301 | 3.47% |  
				| Oth |  | 1,294 | 3.45% |  
				| Maj |  | 751 | 2.00% |  
				| Turn |  | 37,516 | 71.81% |  |  |  |  |  
								
									| 
	
		| Roger Williams Liberal Democrat hold
 |  
		| C | Felix Aubel | 13,073 | 34.85% |  
		| L | Huw Irranca-Davis | 8,024 | 21.39% |  
		| IM | Ian Mitchell | 762 | 2.03% |  
		| IN | Robert Nicholson | 80 | 0.21% |  
		| PC | Brynach Parri | 1,301 | 3.47% |  
		| UK | Elizabeth Phillips | 452 | 1.20% |  
		| LD | Roger Williams | 13,824 | 36.85% |  
		| Candidates representing 7 parties stood for election to this seat. |  |  |  |  
								
									| 
	
	
	    | Richard Livsey Liberal Democrat gain
 |  
	    | 
			
			
				
			
			
				| Con |  | 12,419 | 28.96% |  
				| Lab |  | 11,424 | 26.64% |  
				| LD |  | 17,516 | 40.85% |  
				| PC |  | 622 | 1.45% |  
				| Ref |  | 900 | 2.10% |  
				| Oth |  | 0 | 0.00% |  
				| Maj |  | 5,097 | 11.89% |  
				| Turn |  | 42,881 | 82.24% |  |  |  |  |  
								
									| 
	
	
	    | Conservative |  
	    | 
			
			
				
			
			
				| Con |  | 15,977 | 36.10% |  
				| Lab |  | 11,634 | 26.30% |  
				| LD |  | 15,847 | 35.80% |  
				| PC |  | 418 | 0.90% |  
				| Oth |  | 393 | 0.90% |  
				| Maj |  | 130 | 0.30% |  
				| Turn |  | 44,269 | 84.34% |  |  |  |  |  
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